Probability of winning the Champions League: Arsenal leads the way with over 23%, Bayern, Manchester City, Red Army, Paris and Real Madrid ranked 2-6

 7:32pm, 6 November 2025

The fourth round of the UEFA Champions League has ended. OPTA supercomputer has updated the probability of winning the Champions League.

The latest probability of winning the Champions League:

1. Arsenal: 23.53%

2. Bayern: 14.33%

3. Manchester City: 12.95%

4. Liverpool: 11.72%

5. Paris: 10.22%

6. Real Madrid: 4.7%

7. Barcelona: 4.24%

8. Inter Milan: 4.19%

9. Chelsea: 3.85%

10. Newcastle United: 3.49%

11. Dortmund: 1.38%

12. Tottenham, Atletico Madrid: 1.28%

13. Atalanta: 0.44%

14. Galatasaray: 0.43%

15. Naples: 0.38%

16, Leverkusen: 0.36%

17, Sporting CP: 0.30%

18, Brugge: 0.26%

19. Juventus: 0.20%

20, Eindhoven: 0.15%

21, Monaco: 0.08%

22, Marseille: 0.07%

23. Benfica: 0.05%

24. Frankfurt, San Giulos: 0.04%

25. Karabakh, Paphos, Olympiacos, Villarea Seoul: 0.01%

26, Athletic Bilbao, Slavia Prague, Copenhagen, Bode Shine, Ajax, Kairat Almaty: 0%